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SkullKey
Mar 28th 2008, 12:32 pm
Well it's Friday the 28th of march 2008. The full regular season begins in just a few days and there are just 2 or so Spring Training games left. Maybe it's OK to see how a hotly debated prospect has this spring. After all - according to some - he just didn't have what it takes.

As it turns, regardless of how he does in the regular season Felix Pie's spring will probably look to future fans as "He tore it up that spring".

Conveniently Mr Foot has some almost unnaturally round numbers at this point starting with an even 60 ABs; a number conveniently converted to 600 (typical for a full season). If he repeats this spring (not likely but) he will produce:

600 ABs
210 Hits, good for a .350 AVE scoring ...
140 runs from ...
20 HRs and ...
40 2Bs and ...
10 3Bs with a ...
.400 OBP from ...
50 BBs and ...
140 Ks. (get this down under 100.) with ...
80 RBI's (a number dependent on line-up position and teammates.)

Pretty impressive. "Tearing it up" qualifies.

20 HR & 40 2Bs and 10 3Bs (330 Total Bases) give a SLG of .550. Very impressive. Superstar numbers all in all.

He also would have 30 SBs with 10 CS (75%) - acceptable , not high quality IMO.

For all the worries his 2008 spring was nothing to complain about. By the way - if he goes 0 for 8 to end the spring he still finishes about .308.

Nicely done Mr Foot !

Let the criticisms begin.

Bockstock
Mar 28th 2008, 12:45 pm
A 275/325/450 line would make me very happy

I wish Lou would bat him higher than 8th on days vs. RHP

InfinitePulse
Mar 28th 2008, 1:04 pm
Not a bad idea but first he has to prove he can hit in the regular season... if we're not going to put stock in negative outcomes of ST, gotta do the same for the positives.

cubbyfanforever
Mar 28th 2008, 1:21 pm
Not a bad idea but first he has to prove he can hit in the regular season... if we're not going to put stock in negative outcomes of ST, gotta do the same for the positives.

I think now that Reed Johnson will face lefties, I see Pie hitting .297 avg. for the year.

SkullKey
Mar 28th 2008, 1:28 pm
" .... first he has to prove he can hit in the regular season. .... "

This is, of course, very obviously true I just don't understand the pessimism: call it the "Corey Patterson Syndrome" (too much damn fool hype!). [Edit: Or maybe just too much damn fool. I'm not sure Corey was the smartest guy around. Arrogantly un-coachable too I've read. He's Crusty's problem now.]

Bill James proved, in what he called his most significant work, that minor league stats do indeed provide significant indication of probable major league performance. I think it was in his 1984 or 1985 Abstract. The study formed the basis for all the projections that are routine these days.

Pie never hit under .283 in the minors .. He finished with a .362 against quality pitching at Iowa. His minor league totals (6 seasons) were an even .300/.355/.469 - very acceptable should he repeat them.

His final minor league season of .362/.410/.563 was superstar stuff. I am not predicting superstardom (he might yet fail, of course) but he reminds me most of a young Andre Dawson or even Vlcd the Destroyer. Give him a couple of years.

InfinitePulse
Mar 28th 2008, 1:56 pm
No pessimism, just looking for a balanced view of a clean slate. Think about how bad Rich Hill's been looking, but we're not supposed to take that into account once the regular season comes around, so I'm doing the same for players who show in a positive light during the same time. Clean slate all the way through.

HEYHEY
Mar 28th 2008, 3:52 pm
" .... first he has to prove he can hit in the regular season. .... "

This is, of course, very obviously true I just don't understand the pessimism: call it the "Corey Patterson Syndrome" (too much damn fool hype!).

Bill James proved, in what he called his most significant work, that minor league stats do indeed provide significant indication of probable major league performance. I think it was in his 1984 or 1985 Abstract. The study formed the basis for all the projections that are routine these days.

Pie never hit under .283 in the minors .. He finished with a .362 against quality pitching at Iowa. His minor league totals (6 seasons) were an even .300/.355/.469 - very acceptable should he repeat them.

His final minor league season of .362/.410/.563 was superstar stuff. I am not predicting superstardom (he might yet fail, of course) but he reminds me most of a young Andre Dawson or even Vlad the Destroyer. Give him a couple of years.

He look's more like a young Soriano to me. I predict Superstardom!