Czech Swing
Dec 9th 2006, 1:20 pm
Assuming Zambrano, Hill, Lilly, and Marquis are healthy and the fifth spot is filled by Miller/Prior/rookies what do you think their wins, losses, and games started would be?
Here are some numbers from last year with Hill and the #5 spot estimated:
Zambrano 16-7, 33
Lilly 15-13, 32
Hill 10-12, 30 (projected from last year's numbers)
Marquis 14-16, 33
Miller/ Prior/ rookies are harder to predict. If healthy both Miller and Prior could be good for 10-15 wins, if not who knows. They would need to make 34 starts. Without them the record would be 55-48 by the starters alone. I estimate the fifth spot would be 10-12. That would bring the record by the starters to 65-60. This leaves 37 games to be decided by the bullpen. Hard to say with Dempster closing, but I think the Cubs could win 25 of these. The team record would then be 90-72. This is probably a best case senario.
Z and Hill could win more. I expect Lilly and Marquis to be about the same. The Other starters could win less. What do you think?
Here are some numbers from last year with Hill and the #5 spot estimated:
Zambrano 16-7, 33
Lilly 15-13, 32
Hill 10-12, 30 (projected from last year's numbers)
Marquis 14-16, 33
Miller/ Prior/ rookies are harder to predict. If healthy both Miller and Prior could be good for 10-15 wins, if not who knows. They would need to make 34 starts. Without them the record would be 55-48 by the starters alone. I estimate the fifth spot would be 10-12. That would bring the record by the starters to 65-60. This leaves 37 games to be decided by the bullpen. Hard to say with Dempster closing, but I think the Cubs could win 25 of these. The team record would then be 90-72. This is probably a best case senario.
Z and Hill could win more. I expect Lilly and Marquis to be about the same. The Other starters could win less. What do you think?