Originally Posted by ryno4ever
Hendry on comcastsportsnet today said that getting Miles actually gives Lou the option to tinker with the leadoff spot.
That's not what I read the other day
Regardless if you extrapolate the numbers between Sori/Font and Theriot/miles at 1/2 you get:
-Higher OBP for Miles/Theriot (probably 30 points) - about the only positive
-approx. same number of BB
-More XBH for Sori/Font by a very wide margin, probably 30-40 XBH (players already in scoring position without having to sacrifice an out)
-approx. 4-5 times more CS and 2-3 times more GIDP with Miles/Theriot (essentially almost a complete game of outs and negating some of the advatage of OBP).
If the Cubs do not land a slugger in RF, you can probably make the argument for having one of these two guys as the regular lead-off or in the #2 slot, or is Aram goes down for a bit and you have to move Sori down. However some of the lineups I've seen with Theriot/Miles leading off have Soto pushed to #7 to make room for this. That's just doesn't make sense and is more Dusty Baker-ball type philosophy.
Probably in the end lineup order doesn't matter, and the success middle of the order (can Lee bounce back/will aram stay healthy/new RF/Can Soto replicate) will determine the cubs offensive success anyway, I guess what I'm trying to see is I'd rather give more PA to Soriano,Soto,Fontenot than Miles or Theriot.